Football/ Ayush Pawar

Bundesliga · 2025/26 ·

Union Berlin 2 to 2 Mainz 05

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Thriller
  • Comeback
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Why 4.5 stars

  • 4 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (18.0 points).
  • It finished level (17.5 points for the final margin).
  • The score stayed within one goal for 91% of the match (15.9 points).
  • A comeback added 10.0 drama points.

How the rating adds up

77.6 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.76 of 1.00
Points added30.4 of 40
  • Goals4 goals0.75 × 60%18.0 pts
  • Shots on target11 in the match; 78th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.78 × 40%12.4 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.96 of 1.00
Points added33.5 of 35
  • Final marginlevel1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
  • Within one goalfor 91% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.91 × 50%15.9 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.55 of 1.00
Points added13.8 of 25
  • Comeback+0.4010.0 pts
  • Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 30′Goal · Mainz 050–1
  2. Half-time · 0–1
  3. 69′Goal · Mainz 050–2
  4. 77′Goal · Union Berlin1–2
  5. 86′Goal · Union Berlin2–2
  6. Full time · 2–2

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticUnion BerlinMainz 05
Goals22
Shots on target56
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating3.651.56
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Thriller
4.5 stars or more, margin of 1 or less, 3 or more goals. Here: 4.5 stars, margin of 0, 4 goals.
Comeback
Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Bundesliga-2025-us:30366
Source record
understat+football-data · 30366
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
927cc519a793d09bb36cfd03dc80995c621621acd1dc4e0e611121142852814b
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14