Bundesliga · 2025/26 ·
Mainz 05
3 to 1
Wolfsburg
Match Entertainment Rating
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Why 4.0 stars
- 4 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (18.0 points).
- 11 shots on target, a high count: 78th percentile of 2025/26 matches (12.4 points).
- The score stayed within one goal for 92% of the match (16.1 points).
- A comeback added 10.0 drama points.
How the rating adds up
72.3 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.76 of 1.00
Points added30.4 of 40
- Goals4 goals0.75 × 60%18.0 pts
- Shots on target11 in the match; 78th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.78 × 40%12.4 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score0.66 of 1.00
Points added23.1 of 35
- Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 92% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.92 × 50%16.1 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score0.75 of 1.00
Points added18.8 of 25
- Comeback+0.4010.0 pts
- Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts
- Penalties awarded2 penalties awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.205.0 pts
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 3′Goal · Wolfsburg0–1
- Half-time · 0–1
- 68′Goal · Mainz 051–1
- 73′Goal · Mainz 052–1
- 83′Penalty · Mainz 053–1
- Full time · 3–1
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Mainz 05 | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 |
| Shots on target | 9 | 2 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 4.34 | 1.09 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 2 | |
Labels
- Comeback
- Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.
- Chaos
- 4 or more of: red cards, penalties awarded, equalisers, lead changes. Here: 0 red cards, 2 penalties, 1 equaliser, 1 lead change.
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- Bundesliga-2025-us:30392
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 30392
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- 5170d91c465245b281dc526f77486217da4c1e6aaa2d59b5b982642c0ae31e2f
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14