Football/ Ayush Pawar

Bundesliga · 2025/26 ·

Bayer Leverkusen 1 to 2 Augsburg

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Thriller
  • Late Drama
  • Upset
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Why 4.5 stars

  • 15 shots on target, a high count: 97th percentile of 2025/26 matches (15.5 points).
  • 3 goals contributed to the entertainment score (14.4 points).
  • The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
  • A result-changing goal at 90+7′ added 12.5 drama points.

How the rating adds up

80.1 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.75 of 1.00
Points added29.9 of 40
  • Goals3 goals0.60 × 60%14.4 pts
  • Shots on target15 in the match; 97th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.97 × 40%15.5 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.90 of 1.00
Points added31.5 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.75 of 1.00
Points added18.8 of 25
  • Late result-changing goalat 90+7′+0.5012.5 pts
  • Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts
  • Penalties awarded1 penalty awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 12′Goal · Bayer Leverkusen1–0
  2. 15′Goal · Augsburg1–1
  3. Half-time · 1–1
  4. 90+7′Penalty · Augsburg Late Drama1–2
  5. Full time · 1–2

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticBayer LeverkusenAugsburg
Goals12
Shots on target105
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating3.731.30
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play1

Labels

Thriller
4.5 stars or more, margin of 1 or less, 3 or more goals. Here: 4.5 stars, margin of 1, 3 goals.
Late Drama
Result-changing goal at 88' or later (stoppage included) or in extra time; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: goal at 90+7′.
Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 14% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Bundesliga-2025-us:30485
Source record
understat+football-data · 30485
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
40fd73dd237df1b5d9cb740e5d4b6de26ca0838f4183b71ff307d4d719aced2a
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14