Football/ Ayush Pawar

Bundesliga · 2025/26 ·

Mainz 05 3 to 4 Bayern Munich

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Goal Fest
  • Thriller
  • Comeback
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Why 4.5 stars

  • 7 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (24.0 points).
  • 14 shots on target, a high count: 94th percentile of 2025/26 matches (15.1 points).
  • The score stayed within one goal for 51% of the match (8.9 points).
  • A comeback added 15.0 drama points.

How the rating adds up

80.7 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.98 of 1.00
Points added39.0 of 40
  • Goals7 goals1.00 × 60%24.0 pts
  • Shots on target14 in the match; 94th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.94 × 40%15.1 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.66 of 1.00
Points added22.9 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 51% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.51 × 50%8.9 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.75 of 1.00
Points added18.8 of 25
  • Comebackwon after trailing late, and recovered from two down+0.6015.0 pts
  • Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 15′Goal · Mainz 051–0
  2. 29′Goal · Mainz 052–0
  3. 45+2′Goal · Mainz 053–0
  4. Half-time · 3–0
  5. 53′Goal · Bayern Munich3–1
  6. 73′Goal · Bayern Munich3–2
  7. 81′Goal · Bayern Munich3–3
  8. 83′Goal · Bayern Munich3–4
  9. Full time · 3–4

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticMainz 05Bayern Munich
Goals34
Shots on target86
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating3.222.36
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Goal Fest
5 or more goals. Here: 7 goals.
Thriller
4.5 stars or more, margin of 1 or less, 3 or more goals. Here: 4.5 stars, margin of 1, 7 goals.
Comeback
Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Bundesliga-2025-us:30499
Source record
understat+football-data · 30499
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
2c4c652c688acb462c041a8710f13b91156ada11e7e6e87febbbffb9bb8e42b4
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14