Bundesliga · 2026/27 ·
Hoffenheim
2 to 3
Hamburger SV
Match Entertainment Rating
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Why 4.5 stars
- 5 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (21.6 points).
- The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
- A result-changing goal at 90+4′ added 12.5 drama points.
- A comeback added 10.0 drama points.
- Drama reached its maximum of 25 points: its events add up to more than the cap.
How the rating adds up
84.8 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.71 of 1.00
Points added28.3 of 40
- Goals5 goals0.90 × 60%21.6 pts
- Shots on target8 in the match; 42nd percentile of 2025/26 matches0.42 × 40%6.7 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score0.90 of 1.00
Points added31.5 of 35
- Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score1.00 of 1.00
Points added25.0 of 25
- Late result-changing goalat 90+4′+0.5012.5 pts
- Comeback+0.4010.0 pts
- Equalisers2 equalisers+0.307.5 pts
- Red cards1 red card; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts
These events add up to 1.30. Drama is capped at 1.00, so it adds its maximum 25 points.
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 12′Goal · Hamburger SV0–1
- 45+6′Own goal · credited to Hoffenheim1–1
- Half-time · 1–1
- 53′Goal · Hoffenheim2–1
- 83′Goal · Hamburger SV2–2
- 90+4′Goal · Hamburger SV Late Drama2–3
- Full time · 2–3
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Hoffenheim | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 4 |
| Red cards | 1 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 0.93 | 1.51 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 0 | |
Labels
- Goal Fest
- 5 or more goals. Here: 5 goals.
- Thriller
- 4.5 stars or more, margin of 1 or less, 3 or more goals. Here: 4.5 stars, margin of 1, 5 goals.
- Late Drama
- Result-changing goal at 88' or later (stoppage included) or in extra time; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: goal at 90+4′.
- Comeback
- Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.
- Chaos
- 4 or more of: red cards, penalties awarded, equalisers, lead changes. Here: 1 red card, 0 penalties, 2 equalisers, 2 lead changes.
- Upset
- Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 14% (average closing odds).
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- Bundesliga-2026-us:32286
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 32286
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- e77a447f5e260a07947ba392e0bb866c2f745ce0b2e7501c93a4c5f07570b4e4
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14