Bundesliga · 2026/27 · 17 October 2026

Werder Bremen 2 to 2 Paderborn

Who led, minute by minute18′ · 30′ · 59′ · 65′

Four goals, and nobody won.

Paderborn were 2–0 up after 30′. Werder Bremen equalised at 65′.

Match Entertainment Rating · score 79.1 of 100

Thriller
Comeback

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Why 4.5 stars

4 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (18.0 points).
15 shots on target, a high count: 97th percentile of 2025/26 matches (15.5 points).
It finished level (17.5 points for the final margin).
A comeback added 10.0 drama points.

How the rating adds up

79.1 / 100 match score

Entertainment
Competitiveness
Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.84 of 1.00

Points added33.5 of 40

Goals4 goals0.75 × 60%18.0 pts
Shots on target15 in the match; 97th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.97 × 40%15.5 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.84 of 1.00

Points added29.4 of 35

Final marginlevel1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
Within one goalfor 68% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.68 × 50%11.9 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.65 of 1.00

Points added16.2 of 25

Comeback+0.4010.0 pts
Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts
Penalties awarded1 penalty awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

18′Goal · Paderborn0–1
30′Goal · Paderborn0–2
Half-time · 0–2
59′Goal · Werder Bremen1–2
65′Penalty · Werder Bremen2–2
Full time · 2–2

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

Statistic	Werder Bremen	Paderborn
Goals	2	2
Shots on target	11	4
Red cards	0	0
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating	2.67	1.37
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play	1

Labels

Thriller: 4.5 stars or more, margin of 1 or less, 3 or more goals. Here: 4.5 stars, margin of 0, 4 goals.
Comeback: Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.

Technical details

Match ID: Bundesliga-2026-us:32294
Source record: understat+football-data · 32294
Rating method: mer-1.0.0
Calibration: cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint: 07be34f10db5d6cc03062077206571b7eb6c3233a8ada8deebc2340c2fe36f27
Revision: 1 · rated 2026-10-20