Football/ Ayush Pawar

Bundesliga · 2026/27 ·

Elversberg 3 to 2 Bayer Leverkusen

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Goal Fest
  • Upset
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Why 3.0 stars

  • 5 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (21.6 points).
  • 10 shots on target, a typical count: 67th percentile of 2025/26 matches (10.8 points).
  • One side was two or more goals clear for 90% of the match, which kept competitiveness down.
  • Nothing in the match earned drama points: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.

How the rating adds up

48.1 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.81 of 1.00
Points added32.4 of 40
  • Goals5 goals0.90 × 60%21.6 pts
  • Shots on target10 in the match; 67th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.67 × 40%10.8 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.45 of 1.00
Points added15.8 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 10% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.10 × 50%1.8 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.00 of 1.00
Points added0.0 of 25
  • No drama events: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 8′Goal · Elversberg1–0
  2. 9′Goal · Elversberg2–0
  3. Half-time · 2–0
  4. 46′Goal · Elversberg3–0
  5. 77′Goal · Bayer Leverkusen3–1
  6. 90+1′Goal · Bayer Leverkusen3–2
  7. Full time · 3–2

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticElversbergBayer Leverkusen
Goals32
Shots on target64
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating1.402.62
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Goal Fest
5 or more goals. Here: 5 goals.
Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 19% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Bundesliga-2026-us:32758
Source record
understat+football-data · 32758
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
bb079f67b0b388fdd9499ef837cff7f7833ff5e8417c7208c56a324eee37e8e1
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14