Bundesliga · 2026/27 ·
Elversberg
4 to 3
Augsburg
Who led, minute by minute4′ · 7′ · 28′ · 45+9′ · 76′ · 89′ · 90′
Seven goals, and Elversberg won it.
Why 3.5 stars
- 7 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (24.0 points).
- 16 shots on target, a high count: 98th percentile of 2025/26 matches (15.7 points).
- One side was two or more goals clear for 78% of the match, which kept competitiveness down.
- 4 penalties awarded during play added 5.0 drama points.
How the rating adds up
62.6 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
- Goals7 goals1.00 × 60%24.0 pts
- Shots on target16 in the match; 98th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.98 × 40%15.7 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
- Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 22% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.22 × 50%3.9 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
- Penalties awarded4 penalties awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.205.0 pts
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 4′Goal · Elversberg1–0
- 7′Goal · Elversberg2–0
- 28′Goal · Elversberg3–0
- 45+9′Penalty · Augsburg3–1
- Half-time · 3–1
- 76′Penalty · Augsburg3–2
- 89′Goal · Elversberg4–2
- 90′Goal · Augsburg4–3
- Full time · 4–3
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Elversberg | Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| Shots on target | 8 | 8 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 4.00 | 3.74 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 4 | |
Labels
- Goal Fest
- 5 or more goals. Here: 7 goals.
- Chaos
- 4 or more of: red cards, penalties awarded, equalisers, lead changes. Here: 0 red cards, 4 penalties, 0 equalisers, 0 lead changes.
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- Bundesliga-2026-us:32763
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 32763
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- 06ce86bd4ebdac00113773b9f2815c26af896edcfb4f184a9596668d41650798
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-20