Premier League · 2025/26 ·
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 to 3
Burnley
Match Entertainment Rating
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Why 4.5 stars
- 5 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (21.6 points).
- 14 shots on target, a high count: 94th percentile of 2025/26 matches (15.1 points).
- The score stayed within one goal for 87% of the match (15.2 points).
- A result-changing goal at 90+5′ added 12.5 drama points.
How the rating adds up
84.6 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.92 of 1.00
Points added36.6 of 40
- Goals5 goals0.90 × 60%21.6 pts
- Shots on target14 in the match; 94th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.94 × 40%15.1 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score0.83 of 1.00
Points added29.2 of 35
- Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 87% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.87 × 50%15.2 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score0.75 of 1.00
Points added18.8 of 25
- Late result-changing goalat 90+5′+0.5012.5 pts
- Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts
- Penalties awarded1 penalty awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 14′Goal · Burnley0–1
- 30′Goal · Burnley0–2
- 42′Penalty · Wolverhampton Wanderers1–2
- 45+4′Goal · Wolverhampton Wanderers2–2
- Half-time · 2–2
- 90+5′Goal · Burnley Late Drama2–3
- Full time · 2–3
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| Shots on target | 7 | 7 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 2.58 | 1.55 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 1 | |
Labels
- Goal Fest
- 5 or more goals. Here: 5 goals.
- Thriller
- 4.5 stars or more, margin of 1 or less, 3 or more goals. Here: 4.5 stars, margin of 1, 5 goals.
- Late Drama
- Result-changing goal at 88' or later (stoppage included) or in extra time; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: goal at 90+5′.
- Upset
- Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 22% (average closing odds).
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- EPL-2025-us:28867
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 28867
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- bc2a43430ee7ac88a28adb7da5e2025a1cf440eacb432637bab973bc5d349a8c
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14