Premier League · 2025/26 ·
Leeds
3 to 1
Chelsea
Match Entertainment Rating
← Back to the gallery
Why 2.5 stars
- 4 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (18.0 points).
- 7 shots on target, a typical count: 30th percentile of 2025/26 matches (4.8 points).
- The score stayed within one goal for 72% of the match (12.6 points).
- Nothing in the match earned drama points: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.
How the rating adds up
42.4 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.57 of 1.00
Points added22.8 of 40
- Goals4 goals0.75 × 60%18.0 pts
- Shots on target7 in the match; 30th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.30 × 40%4.8 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score0.56 of 1.00
Points added19.6 of 35
- Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 72% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.72 × 50%12.6 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score0.00 of 1.00
Points added0.0 of 25
- No drama events: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 6′Goal · Leeds1–0
- 43′Goal · Leeds2–0
- Half-time · 2–0
- 50′Goal · Chelsea2–1
- 72′Goal · Leeds3–1
- Full time · 3–1
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Leeds | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 2 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 2.20 | 0.96 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 0 | |
Labels
- Upset
- Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 24% (average closing odds).
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- EPL-2025-us:28913
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 28913
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- 40a5df6bc461635a46f797d6cfeba223e49bd66af3cd038b21057908bed32b3c
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14