Premier League · 2025/26 ·
Chelsea
1 to 2
Aston Villa
Match Entertainment Rating
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Why 4.0 stars
- 3 goals contributed to the entertainment score (14.4 points).
- 11 shots on target, a high count: 78th percentile of 2025/26 matches (12.4 points).
- The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
- A comeback added 10.0 drama points.
How the rating adds up
72.1 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.67 of 1.00
Points added26.8 of 40
- Goals3 goals0.60 × 60%14.4 pts
- Shots on target11 in the match; 78th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.78 × 40%12.4 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score0.90 of 1.00
Points added31.5 of 35
- Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score0.55 of 1.00
Points added13.8 of 25
- Comeback+0.4010.0 pts
- Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 37′Goal · Chelsea1–0
- Half-time · 1–0
- 63′Goal · Aston Villa1–1
- 84′Goal · Aston Villa1–2
- Full time · 1–2
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Chelsea | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| Shots on target | 3 | 8 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 1.97 | 2.06 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 0 | |
Labels
- Comeback
- Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.
- Upset
- Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 22% (average closing odds).
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- EPL-2025-us:28951
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 28951
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- a3e8442fa50673eccf9168302a4525a0ebb3b83cf186f51779ae3c73744a927d
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14