Premier League · 2025/26 ·
Nottingham Forest
0 to 2
Everton
Match Entertainment Rating
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Why 2.0 stars
- 2 goals contributed to the entertainment score (9.6 points).
- 9 shots on target, a typical count: 55th percentile of 2025/26 matches (8.8 points).
- The score stayed within one goal for 88% of the match (15.4 points).
- Nothing in the match earned drama points: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.
How the rating adds up
40.7 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.46 of 1.00
Points added18.4 of 40
- Goals2 goals0.40 × 60%9.6 pts
- Shots on target9 in the match; 55th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.55 × 40%8.8 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score0.64 of 1.00
Points added22.4 of 35
- Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 88% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.88 × 50%15.4 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score0.00 of 1.00
Points added0.0 of 25
- No drama events: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 19′Goal · Everton0–1
- Half-time · 0–1
- 79′Goal · Everton0–2
- Full time · 0–2
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 3 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 0 | |
Labels
- Upset
- Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 22% (average closing odds).
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- EPL-2025-us:28965
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 28965
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- f3b7570db89be3f3bd3c11ce95b8244ec53c42a9bb523e4570147ddc4eee403a
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14