Premier League · 2025/26 · 4 March 2026

Aston Villa 1 to 4 Chelsea

Match Entertainment Rating

Goal Fest
One-Sided

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Why 3.0 stars

5 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (21.6 points).
12 shots on target, a high count: 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches (13.6 points).
The score stayed within one goal for 61% of the match (10.7 points).
1 equaliser added 3.8 drama points.

How the rating adds up

52.3 / 100 match score

Entertainment
Competitiveness
Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.88 of 1.00

Points added35.2 of 40

Goals5 goals0.90 × 60%21.6 pts
Shots on target12 in the match; 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.85 × 40%13.6 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.38 of 1.00

Points added13.3 of 35

Final margindecided by 3 goals0.15 × 50%2.6 pts
Within one goalfor 61% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.61 × 50%10.7 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.15 of 1.00

Points added3.8 of 25

Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

2′Goal · Aston Villa1–0
35′Goal · Chelsea1–1
45+6′Goal · Chelsea1–2
Half-time · 1–2
55′Goal · Chelsea1–3
64′Goal · Chelsea1–4
Full time · 1–4

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

Statistic	Aston Villa	Chelsea
Goals	1	4
Shots on target	4	8
Red cards	0	0
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating	1.07	3.39
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play	0

Labels

Goal Fest: 5 or more goals. Here: 5 goals.
One-Sided: Final margin of 3 or more. Here: margin of 3.

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.

Technical details

Match ID: EPL-2025-us:29059
Source record: understat+football-data · 29059
Rating method: mer-1.0.0
Calibration: cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint: eeff05984f97b2e786dcf6e236d7f683a227fd0ce3d86df3e4186eb4902c164b
Revision: 1 · rated 2026-10-14