Premier League · 2025/26 ·
Nottingham Forest
1 to 1
Newcastle United
Match Entertainment Rating
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Why 4.0 stars
- 12 shots on target, a high count: 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches (13.6 points).
- The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
- It finished level (17.5 points for the final margin).
- A result-changing goal at 88′ added 12.5 drama points.
How the rating adds up
74.5 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.58 of 1.00
Points added23.2 of 40
- Goals2 goals0.40 × 60%9.6 pts
- Shots on target12 in the match; 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.85 × 40%13.6 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score1.00 of 1.00
Points added35.0 of 35
- Final marginlevel1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
- Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score0.65 of 1.00
Points added16.2 of 25
- Late result-changing goalat 88′+0.5012.5 pts
- Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- Half-time · 0–0
- 74′Goal · Newcastle United0–1
- 88′Goal · Nottingham Forest Late Drama1–1
- Full time · 1–1
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Shots on target | 6 | 6 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 1.46 | 1.65 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 0 | |
Labels
- Late Drama
- Result-changing goal at 88' or later (stoppage included) or in extra time; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: goal at 88′.
- Hidden Gem
- 4 stars or more with 2 goals or fewer. Here: 4.0 stars with 2 goals.
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- EPL-2025-us:29134
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 29134
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- f3a33e2ca28127119b756fdf193747c62b2e768b670533d50ce616960e4fc3db
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14