Football/ Ayush Pawar

Premier League · 2026/27 ·

Hull 2 to 0 Manchester United

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Upset
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Why 1.0 stars

  • 2 goals contributed to the entertainment score (9.6 points).
  • 9 shots on target, a typical count: 55th percentile of 2025/26 matches (8.8 points).
  • One side was two or more goals clear for 58% of the match, which kept competitiveness down.
  • Nothing in the match earned drama points: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.

How the rating adds up

32.8 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.46 of 1.00
Points added18.4 of 40
  • Goals2 goals0.40 × 60%9.6 pts
  • Shots on target9 in the match; 55th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.55 × 40%8.8 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.41 of 1.00
Points added14.4 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 42% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.42 × 50%7.4 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.00 of 1.00
Points added0.0 of 25
  • No drama events: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 17′Goal · Hull1–0
  2. 38′Goal · Hull2–0
  3. Half-time · 2–0
  4. Full time · 2–0

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticHullManchester United
Goals20
Shots on target45
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating1.501.78
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 11% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
EPL-2026-us:31181
Source record
understat+football-data · 31181
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
a3a487c807e13a2e8c8e4e1afa38a5662be3742d9e0e77ee007c174ca1c2e703
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14