Football/ Ayush Pawar

Premier League · 2026/27 ·

Tottenham 2 to 3 Aston Villa

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Goal Fest
  • Upset
← Back to the gallery

Why 3.5 stars

  • 5 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (21.6 points).
  • 13 shots on target, a high count: 90th percentile of 2025/26 matches (14.4 points).
  • The score stayed within one goal for 74% of the match (13.0 points).
  • Nothing in the match earned drama points: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.

How the rating adds up

63.0 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.90 of 1.00
Points added36.0 of 40
  • Goals5 goals0.90 × 60%21.6 pts
  • Shots on target13 in the match; 90th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.90 × 40%14.4 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.77 of 1.00
Points added27.0 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 74% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.74 × 50%13.0 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.00 of 1.00
Points added0.0 of 25
  • No drama events: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 45+4′Goal · Aston Villa0–1
  2. Half-time · 0–1
  3. 67′Goal · Aston Villa0–2
  4. 79′Goal · Aston Villa0–3
  5. 86′Goal · Tottenham1–3
  6. 90+8′Goal · Tottenham2–3
  7. Full time · 2–3

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticTottenhamAston Villa
Goals23
Shots on target76
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating1.721.71
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Goal Fest
5 or more goals. Here: 5 goals.
Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 25% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
EPL-2026-us:31221
Source record
understat+football-data · 31221
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
cd187bfcb2281cc5db373e61136840c49b603838d6e7105d0dad3e7217742920
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14