Premier League · 2026/27 ·
Nottingham Forest
0 to 1
Coventry
Match Entertainment Rating
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Why 2.0 stars
- 1 goal added a little to the entertainment score (4.8 points).
- 6 shots on target, a low count: 20th percentile of 2025/26 matches (3.2 points).
- The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
- Nothing in the match earned drama points: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.
How the rating adds up
39.5 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
Component score0.20 of 1.00
Points added8.0 of 40
- Goals1 goal0.20 × 60%4.8 pts
- Shots on target6 in the match; 20th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.20 × 40%3.2 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
Component score0.90 of 1.00
Points added31.5 of 35
- Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
Component score0.00 of 1.00
Points added0.0 of 25
- No drama events: no late result-changing goal, comeback, equaliser, red card, penalty or shootout.
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- Half-time · 0–0
- 55′Goal · Coventry0–1
- Full time · 0–1
Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.
Match statistics
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Shots on target | 3 | 3 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating | 1.32 | 0.69 |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 0 | |
Labels
- Upset
- Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 18% (average closing odds).
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- EPL-2026-us:31227
- Source record
- understat+football-data · 31227
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- 563c7bca1f8bd9b17d3bac0228e0acf15f63f41b11245d299c7a9339a8a1ff2d
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-14