Football/ Ayush Pawar

La Liga · 2025/26 ·

Real Madrid 0 to 2 Celta Vigo

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Upset
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Why 3.0 stars

  • 12 shots on target, a high count: 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches (13.6 points).
  • 2 goals contributed to the entertainment score (9.6 points).
  • The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
  • 3 red cards added 5.0 drama points.

How the rating adds up

52.7 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.58 of 1.00
Points added23.2 of 40
  • Goals2 goals0.40 × 60%9.6 pts
  • Shots on target12 in the match; 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.85 × 40%13.6 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.70 of 1.00
Points added24.5 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.20 of 1.00
Points added5.0 of 25
  • Red cards3 red cards; counts up to 2+0.205.0 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. Half-time · 0–0
  2. 54′Goal · Celta Vigo0–1
  3. 90+3′Goal · Celta Vigo0–2
  4. Full time · 0–2

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticReal MadridCelta Vigo
Goals02
Shots on target75
Red cards30
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating2.421.61
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 10% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
La_Liga-2025-us:29303
Source record
understat+football-data · 29303
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
f7cde3be4a34aeab79407293bd022904b14141ca7908109c20bfdd9c67536b41
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14