Football/ Ayush Pawar

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 ·

Nice 0 to 1 Toulouse

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Late Drama
  • Upset
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Why 3.0 stars

  • 1 goal added a little to the entertainment score (4.8 points).
  • 4 shots on target, a low count: 5th percentile of 2025/26 matches (0.8 points).
  • The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
  • A result-changing goal at 89′ added 12.5 drama points.

How the rating adds up

49.6 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.14 of 1.00
Points added5.7 of 40
  • Goals1 goal0.20 × 60%4.8 pts
  • Shots on target4 in the match; 5th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.05 × 40%0.8 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.90 of 1.00
Points added31.5 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.50 of 1.00
Points added12.5 of 25
  • Late result-changing goalat 89′+0.5012.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. Half-time · 0–0
  2. 89′Goal · Toulouse Late Drama0–1
  3. Full time · 0–1

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticNiceToulouse
Goals01
Shots on target22
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating0.960.57
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Late Drama
Result-changing goal at 88' or later (stoppage included) or in extra time; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: goal at 89′.
Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 24% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Ligue_1-2025-us:29541
Source record
understat+football-data · 29541
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
e8c11c67e4a214716121ef0cc4355771a83d3ce50d9304bf729d10881a417a05
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14