Football/ Ayush Pawar

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 ·

Lille 0 to 2 Rennes

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Upset
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Why 1.5 stars

  • 2 goals contributed to the entertainment score (9.6 points).
  • 7 shots on target, a typical count: 30th percentile of 2025/26 matches (4.8 points).
  • The score stayed within one goal for 62% of the match (10.9 points).
  • 1 red card added 2.5 drama points.

How the rating adds up

34.8 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.36 of 1.00
Points added14.4 of 40
  • Goals2 goals0.40 × 60%9.6 pts
  • Shots on target7 in the match; 30th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.30 × 40%4.8 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.51 of 1.00
Points added17.9 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 62% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.62 × 50%10.9 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.10 of 1.00
Points added2.5 of 25
  • Red cards1 red card; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. Half-time · 0–0
  2. 49′Goal · Rennes0–1
  3. 56′Goal · Rennes0–2
  4. Full time · 0–2

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticLilleRennes
Goals02
Shots on target34
Red cards10
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating1.061.50
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play0

Labels

Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 21% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Ligue_1-2025-us:29684
Source record
understat+football-data · 29684
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
cfa89922cffde60870ba48fbfc88a9f8fdf346ca5b5a5dba061b879dfdf66c8d
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14