Football/ Ayush Pawar

Ligue 1 · 2025/26 ·

Marseille 0 to 2 Nantes

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Upset
← Back to the gallery

Why 3.5 stars

  • 13 shots on target, a high count: 90th percentile of 2025/26 matches (14.4 points).
  • 2 goals contributed to the entertainment score (9.6 points).
  • The score stayed within one goal for 98% of the match (17.1 points).
  • 2 red cards added 5.0 drama points.

How the rating adds up

55.6 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.60 of 1.00
Points added24.0 of 40
  • Goals2 goals0.40 × 60%9.6 pts
  • Shots on target13 in the match; 90th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.90 × 40%14.4 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.69 of 1.00
Points added24.1 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 98% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.98 × 50%17.1 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.30 of 1.00
Points added7.5 of 25
  • Red cards2 red cards; counts up to 2+0.205.0 pts
  • Penalties awarded1 penalty awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 31′Goal · Nantes0–1
  2. Half-time · 0–1
  3. 88′Penalty · Nantes0–2
  4. Full time · 0–2

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticMarseilleNantes
Goals02
Shots on target49
Red cards20
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating1.143.17
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play1

Labels

Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 9% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Ligue_1-2025-us:29686
Source record
understat+football-data · 29686
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
31f3fff2b28f3a30bae2b46669860e9a663948fa16e1d903be01e825d56dc500
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14