Football/ Ayush Pawar

Ligue 1 · 2026/27 ·

Strasbourg 2 to 1 Lens

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Upset
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Why 4.0 stars

  • 14 shots on target, a high count: 94th percentile of 2025/26 matches (15.1 points).
  • 3 goals contributed to the entertainment score (14.4 points).
  • The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
  • 1 equaliser added 3.8 drama points.

How the rating adds up

67.2 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.74 of 1.00
Points added29.4 of 40
  • Goals3 goals0.60 × 60%14.4 pts
  • Shots on target14 in the match; 94th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.94 × 40%15.1 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.90 of 1.00
Points added31.5 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.25 of 1.00
Points added6.2 of 25
  • Equalisers1 equaliser+0.153.8 pts
  • Penalties awarded1 penalty awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 38′Penalty · Lens0–1
  2. Half-time · 0–1
  3. 48′Goal · Strasbourg1–1
  4. 85′Goal · Strasbourg2–1
  5. Full time · 2–1

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticStrasbourgLens
Goals21
Shots on target77
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating1.862.95
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play1

Labels

Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 25% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Ligue_1-2026-us:31950
Source record
understat+football-data · 31950
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
fda68763180c5a36282a90abe389f559db6f995e3d3206e73cf24f9e504ab9cf
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14