Football/ Ayush Pawar

Serie A · 2025/26 ·

Bologna 1 to 3 Cremonese

Match Entertainment Rating
  • Upset
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Why 3.0 stars

  • 4 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (18.0 points).
  • 12 shots on target, a high count: 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches (13.6 points).
  • One side was two or more goals clear for 56% of the match, which kept competitiveness down.
  • 1 penalty awarded during play added 2.5 drama points.

How the rating adds up

48.9 / 100 match score

  • Entertainment
  • Competitiveness
  • Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.79 of 1.00
Points added31.6 of 40
  • Goals4 goals0.75 × 60%18.0 pts
  • Shots on target12 in the match; 85th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.85 × 40%13.6 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.42 of 1.00
Points added14.8 of 35
  • Final margindecided by 2 goals0.40 × 50%7.0 pts
  • Within one goalfor 44% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.44 × 50%7.8 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.10 of 1.00
Points added2.5 of 25
  • Penalties awarded1 penalty awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

  1. 31′Goal · Cremonese0–1
  2. 35′Goal · Cremonese0–2
  3. 45+3′Penalty · Bologna1–2
  4. Half-time · 1–2
  5. 50′Goal · Cremonese1–3
  6. Full time · 1–3

Goals only, from Understat. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here: the league data has no card times.

Match statistics

StatisticBolognaCremonese
Goals13
Shots on target75
Red cards00
xGUnderstat · context only, not in the rating2.122.34
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play1

Labels

Upset
Domestic only: winner's de-vigged closing probability of 25% or less. Here: the winner's pre-match chance was 14% (average closing odds).

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

  • Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
  • The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
  • xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
  • Data: Understat (goals, xG), football-data.co.uk (shots on target, cards, odds). Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
Match ID
Serie_A-2025-us:29965
Source record
understat+football-data · 29965
Rating method
mer-1.0.0
Calibration
cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint
7132ad5acd40cde0e3aeccba49a5311f96725e318515e91e8fef50e7da7aeab7
Revision
1 · rated 2026-10-14