Conference League · 2026/27 ·
FC Lugano
3 to 2
Red Star Belgrade
Who led, minute by minute25′ · 32′ · 67′ · 84′ · 89′
Five goals, and FC Lugano won it at 89′.
Why 5.0 stars
- 5 goals contributed strongly to the entertainment score (21.6 points).
- 10 shots on target, a typical count: 67th percentile of 2025/26 matches (10.8 points).
- The score was never more than one goal apart (17.5 points).
- A result-changing goal at 89′ added 12.5 drama points.
- Drama reached its maximum of 25 points: its events add up to more than the cap.
How the rating adds up
88.9 / 100 match score
- Entertainment
- Competitiveness
- Drama
Entertainment
40% weightGoals and shots on target.
- Goals5 goals0.90 × 60%21.6 pts
- Shots on target10 in the match; 67th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.67 × 40%10.8 pts
Competitiveness
35% weightHow close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.
- Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
- Within one goalfor 100% of the 90 minutes (stoppage time not counted)1.00 × 50%17.5 pts
Drama
25% weightLate result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.
- Late result-changing goalat 89′+0.5012.5 pts
- Comeback+0.4010.0 pts
- Equalisers2 equalisers+0.307.5 pts
- Penalties awarded1 penalty awarded during play; counts up to 2+0.102.5 pts
These events add up to 1.30. Drama is capped at 1.00, so it adds its maximum 25 points.
A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.
Goals
- 25′Goal · FC Lugano1–0
- 32′Goal · Red Star Belgrade1–1
- Half-time · 1–1
- 67′Goal · Red Star Belgrade1–2
- 84′Goal · FC Lugano2–2
- 89′Penalty · FC Lugano Late Drama3–2
- Full time · 3–2
Goals only, from ESPN. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here, so timelines read the same across competitions (the domestic league data has no card times).
Match statistics
| Statistic | FC Lugano | Red Star Belgrade |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 5 |
| Red cards | 0 | 0 |
| xGcontext only, never in the rating | Not available for this competition | |
| Penalties awardedboth teams, during play | 1 | |
Labels
- Goal Fest
- 5 or more goals. Here: 5 goals.
- Thriller
- 4.5 stars or more, margin of 1 or less, 3 or more goals. Here: 5.0 stars, margin of 1, 5 goals.
- Late Drama
- Result-changing goal at 88' or later (stoppage included) or in extra time; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: goal at 89′.
- Comeback
- Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.
- Chaos
- 4 or more of: red cards, penalties awarded, equalisers, lead changes. Here: 0 red cards, 1 penalty, 2 equalisers, 2 lead changes.
Labels describe the match; they never change its score.
About this rating
- Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
- The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
- xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
- Data: ESPN public match data (scores, events, shots on target, cards); no xG available. Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.
Technical details
- Match ID
- UECL-2026-espn:401915748
- Source record
- espn · 401915748
- Rating method
- mer-1.0.0
- Calibration
- cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
- Input fingerprint
- 646760a8d313974f815239c04a65110193614a13fb1b2a8549db9869be3dcf45
- Revision
- 1 · rated 2026-10-20