Europa League · 2025/26 · 19 March 2026

FC Midtjylland 1 to 2 Nottingham Forest

After extra time · 0–3 on penalties

Second leg · first leg FC Midtjylland 1–0 Nottingham Forest · aggregate 2–2

Match Entertainment Rating

Comeback

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Why 4.0 stars

3 goals contributed to the entertainment score (14.4 points).
The score stayed within one goal for 86% of the match (15.0 points).
It was level after extra time and went to penalties.
A comeback added 10.0 drama points.

How the rating adds up

68.1 / 100 match score

Entertainment
Competitiveness
Drama

Entertainment

40% weight

Goals and shots on target.

Component score0.54 of 1.00

Points added21.6 of 40

Goals3 goals (shootout kicks not counted)0.60 × 60%14.4 pts
Shots on target11 in the match (scaled to 90 minutes); 45th percentile of 2025/26 matches0.45 × 40%7.2 pts

Competitiveness

35% weight

How close the final score was, and how long the match stayed within one goal.

Component score0.83 of 1.00

Points added29.0 of 35

Final margindecided by 1 goal0.80 × 50%14.0 pts
Within one goalfor 86% of the 120 minutes (stoppage time not counted)0.86 × 50%15.0 pts

Drama

25% weight

Late result-changing goals, comebacks, equalisers, red cards, penalties and shootouts.

Component score0.70 of 1.00

Points added17.5 of 25

Comeback+0.4010.0 pts
Penalty shootout0–3+0.307.5 pts

A component score runs from 0 to 1. Points added are its share of the 100-point match score (score × weight). The stars come from the match score, using cutoffs fixed on the 2025/26 season.

Goals

40′Goal · Nottingham Forest0–1agg 1–1
Half-time · 0–1
52′Goal · Nottingham Forest0–2agg 1–2
69′Goal · FC Midtjylland1–2agg 2–2
End of normal time · 1–2
Extra time, half-time · 1–2
End of extra time · 1–2
Penalty shootout · 0–3 (not goals)

Goals only, from ESPN. Minutes can differ by one from broadcast graphics. Red cards are counted in the statistics but not placed here, so timelines read the same across competitions (the domestic league data has no card times).

Match statistics

Statistic	FC Midtjylland	Nottingham Forest
Goals	1	2
Shots on target	3	8
Red cards	0	0
xGcontext only, never in the rating	Not available for this competition
Penalties awardedboth teams, during play	0
Penalty shootoutnot counted as goals	0	3

Labels

Comeback: Winner trailed at or after 60', or a team came back from 2 down to avoid defeat; second legs also on the aggregate. Here: within this match.

Labels describe the match; they never change its score.

About this rating

Complete rating. Every rating input was available for this match.
The stars are a data-driven entertainment heuristic built from goals, shots on target, how close the score stayed and match events. They are not a judgement of football quality.
xG is shown for context only and is not part of the rating.
Data: ESPN public match data (scores, events, shots on target, cards); no xG available. Club crests are trademarks of their clubs; images via ESPN.

Technical details

Match ID: UEL-2025-espn:401862875
Source record: espn · 401862875
Rating method: mer-1.0.0
Calibration: cal-2025-v1 (2025/26, frozen)
Input fingerprint: 2ea1da3604ad5bf0d325cbd74746135777e902565c0666e1af4038112ac01c75
Revision: 1 · rated 2026-10-14